The Iowa Caucuses

The Iowa Caucuses are tomorrow, and while there is little suspense on the Democratic side, the GOP race seems to be a three way race, that is nearly a dead heat. This was confirmed by several polls released in the last 24 hours, including an Insider Advantage poll released today that was taken yesterday. Ron Paul makes the argument that his supports are under represented in the polls because they are more likely to have "cut the landline" and only have a cell phone. This may be true, but the same complaint can be made by the Santorum campaign that a poll taken on Sunday was likely to find his supporters at church.

Getting all of that out of the way, here is my prediction for the Iowa Caucus:

Rick Santorum will win the Iowa Caucus with 27% of the delegates, Ron Paul will finish second at 24% and Mitt Romney will finish a disappointing third at 22%.

According to polling Romney's support is the softest in terms of whether his supporters are set on voting for him. He also possess the weakest argument in Iowan terms for voting for Romney. Traditionally having the best chance to win the presidency doesn't win you the GOP Caucus.

Meanwhile both Santorum and Paul have very excited followers, whom are "true belivers" and more likely to stick with their candidate.

Well tomorrow should be a fun night for those of us who love politics, tell me what you think and make your predictions in the comments section.